Australia plays ‘Piggy in the Middle’ between China and the United States

I had an interesting debate with my husband earlier today about developing relations between Australia and China, sparked by a small article in the Sydney Morning Herald – Chinese whispers over Howard’s end.
My recent fascination with the possible time-traveller from 2035/36, John Titor, was reignited when I read about US concerns regarding our intentions to form stronger ties wth the communist Asiatic state.  For those who dont know of John Titor, he made numerous ‘predictions’ about our possible future world when he ‘visited’ our ‘worldline’ in 2000/01.  If you would like to learn more about this controversial topic please visit the Titor site and the Anomalies time travel forum boards.  His conversations are also archived at Above Top Secret.  One of the few references he made pertaining to Australia and China was …

John Titor – Feb 8th 2001 18:59

"Australia is sort of interesting in what is unknown. After the war, they were not very cooperative or friendly. It is known they did repulse a Chinese invasion and most of their cities were hit. They have a trading relationship with the U.S. but I would characterize them as reclusive and ticked off. "

It is argued that this statement refers to some time after 2013.

I find this ‘prediction’ extremely interesting in the light of recent events.  Prime Minister John Howard is currently attending a meeting in Washington to discuss counter-terrorism security measures following last weeks transport bombings in London, and to talk about the role of Australian troops in Afghanistan.  I anticipate that a recent announcement declaring that Australian troops are expected to take over leadership of UK campaigns in Southern Iraq will also be addressed.  In addition, Australia’s growing political and economic alliance with China is also on the agenda.  What does this mean for Australia?  Is it possible to walk the tender line between two opposing ideals?  It is here where things become uncertain.

The struggle for the next dominant super power nation may well be closer than we wish to believe.  Could Australia’s relationship with China be the catalyst in disrupting the unstable truce?  It is no secret that relations between China and the US have always been on tenuous grounds, with many unresolved issues such as Taiwan, North Korea, Communisim, and China’s human rights reputation.  Australia’s decision to put these issues aside in the structuring of a Free Trade Agreement with China, may well put them at loggerheads with the United States, who plan to voice their concerns at the Washington talks.

I question US motives in this dissension, and the way they may finally choose to enforce their political morals on Australian policy decisions.  In Howard, I am impelled to feel both contempt and admiration.  Typical to Australia’s position on the fence, I see in him, a certain amount of acceptance and resistance to American extremism.  Here is my politically uneducated take on Howard’s impressive time in office …

I believe he was possibly destined to loose the election in 2001 – but 9/11, his prophetic decision to keep the Tampa from landing on Australian soil, and events leading up to the War on Iraq, left Australian voters frightened of change at that time.  World disorder saved his arse, and set a new stage for his future leadership.  It was during the three years following that I  perceived a degree of alteration in Howard’s appearance, deportment, and standing amongst the international community.  I don’t think this was completely by chance … in fact, I think there was much more behind this conversion than most Australians realise.

Without UN support, it was imperative that the US had as many nations as it could muster on it’s side for the Iraq war.  Granted, Australia wasnt a hard sell, as to be expected … but other nations were … and many were starting to look towards a strengthening Australia as an example of balanced actions.  She needed to be portrayed in her best light.  I believe this is where the US conservative propaganda machine stepped in full-force – complete with make-over and body language experts.  Howard was transformed before our eyes – he now appears before us as a confident, stately leader.

The US propaganda squad also taught political tactics – showing the Liberal team how to best defeat their opponents – possibly even producing the advertising themselves.  Noticeably, the 2004 federal election was a single-sided dirty campaign.  The Liberal party advertising demonstrated very little about their own policies, and a good deal about errors and failures of the Labour party.  A suspicious new comer to the game, the conservative Family First party, also had a similar advertising campaign, and zero discussion about actual policies.  Often, news stories centred around personal misgivings of the Labour party members, forming apprehension and distrust in the minds of the Australian audience.  It seems the Australian voters did not question these tactics.  They did not notice the ethical choice by Labour to fight a clean battle and win on the merits of their policies.  This decision to not fight back was to their detriment.  Many voters considered it demonstrated a weakness and hence granted Howard an immoral victory over Labour.

I hear you asking, why would the US assist the Liberal party?  Well, that’s fairly simple to answer.  The Republican and Liberal parties are both of a similar conservative nature.  Bush already had the Liberals on side with the Iraq war, and Howard could be easily manipulated by his timely attendance at the Whitehouse during 9/11.  To change leadership would risk decisions already made by their close relationship.  Maybe Im wrong … maybe Im full of hot air … but that is how I have seen the last few years in Australian politics.  Also, I’m yet to meet anyone who actually voted for the Liberal party (but that discussion I shall undoubtedly leave for another post in the future).  So now back to China.

This is where the side of Howard that I admire will show it’s colours.  He was grateful to receive the assistance of the Republican propanganda team to help him retain his leadership, but I dont think he can be bought off that easily.  I think the US will try to force his hand … literally attempt to bribe or, more likely, blackmail Howard into submission.  Will Howard’s new found diplomacy allow him to preserve his alligence to America, while simultaneously co-operating with her challenger?  The Sydney Morning Herald article suggests the US would like to increase their influence on security and defense in the Asia-Pacific region, with the asstance of Australia’s strategic location, in the light of recent US-based talks concerning the advance of China as a superpower – in which Australia refused to attend.  I believe Howard has the courage to say "No" to US requests which encroach upon Australian interests … The question is … Will they let him?

Personally, I don’t think China would care if Australia remained alligned with America, so long as it stays out of any disagreements between the two nations.  I honestly believe China is mature enough to respect our neutrality.  It’s the US I am worried about.  She can be ruthless when she does not get what she wants.  The xenophobic US government can’t help themselves and are likely to try and make us get involved when it suits their purpose – calling on alliances such as ANZUS and the coalition war in Iraq.  Possibly even drawing on their Patriot Acts if their needs arise.  Will Australia succumb to US pressure and be forced to do something in which China does not approve?

Other quotes of intrigue include ….

John Titor – Feb 8th 2001 13:18
"I guess you could say that. Taiwan, Japan and Korea were all ?forcefully annexed? before N Day. "

Feb 9th 2001 14:02
"Yes, I think the New World Order idea tried to establish itself. I would consider them the combination of the old U.S. federal system, Europe, Canada and Australia."

Feb 15th 2001 17:06
Question –  "What role does Australia play in the war? You stated elsewhere that they repulse a Chinese invasion – Does this mean Australian government side with your enemy? (As I think I recall you stating that they allied with your side + Russia… Could be wrong though.)"
Titor – "There were deep divisions in Australia also. I would associate it more with a powder keg than a civil war."

I would put to you that the reason Australia gets "ticked off" is, she gets somewhat double-crossed by the US, being drawn into their conflict against China and being punished for it.  Australia continues her trade-relations with the US following the war because (1) China will no longer deal with them (no longer trusting Australia and also in pretty bad shape anyway) and (2) perhaps America feels somewhat responsible for the predicament they put her in and due to their own duality which leads to their civil war.

Another interesting quote was rather confident given that there was only to be seven years from when he made the ‘prediction’ until those events ‘come to pass’ …

Jan 29th 2001 12:25
Question – "Are the Olympics still being played in your time?"
Titor – "As a result of the many conflicts, no, there were no official Olympics after 2004. 
However, it appears they may be revived in in 2040."

One day following the announcement of their successful bid for the Olympics, the London transport system was struck by terrorist bombings.  Celebrations were understandably canceled, but England has stated it will not allow these tragic events to stop them conducting the games.  I imagine Australia’s security experience at the Sydney 2000 games will play an important preparatory role in England – which may draw us closer to the ‘front lines’.  Of course, we will just have to wait and see.

Now I have said in a previous post that I believe John Titor was more akin to the character K-PAX, from the movie of the same name, than a deliberate hoax or real time-traveller.  I believe that he was just very intuitive at interpreting world events and where they would likely lead.  His story still remains fascinating to me, and I am always willing to keep an open mind about such things as I do not believe anyone has been able to come up with indisputable evidence to prove he was not who he pertained to be.  Events of the past 4 years certainly have not ruled out the possibility of Titor’s world of the future – traveller from the future or not, there is no reason not to learn from the ‘warnings’ he was trying to convey to us. 

4 Responses to “Australia plays ‘Piggy in the Middle’ between China and the United States”
  1. [madame] [butterfly] says:

    I started to read it but it\’s sooo LONG! Make them shorter =PSome random called Tully.

  2. Reanimated says:

    Ah yes, I admit I do get carried away some times … but I write my blog entries primarily for myself … if others are interested enough to read them, then great. When I write my blog posts, for me they are like a historical record of thoughts I was having at the time … so I often include alot of information about the event I am discussing, background research and resources, along with my personal thoughts, so that in the future I will have the complete picture of an event and how I felt about it at the time … Im rarely a \’had a nice day, the sun was shining\’ kind of blogger. Thanks anyway for your visit and critique … much appreciated 🙂

  3. Paul says:

    Actually I just came about the e-bikes!

    Interesting thoughts on China, given it’s now 2012 and the first batch of US troops have just arrived in Darwin.

    Howard? Wasn’t he a dream come true for cartoonists and satirists all over the country? Little Johnny, Fraser’s lap dog. Then Port Arthur happened and we suddenly had a strong, Statesman-like leader. That’s where his transformation started. It kicked up a gear or two (evolved) as you wrote.

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